The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? Dive in and Share your insights! The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. . They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments. police- settlements. Politics Podcast: Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." 266, the . Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". All rights reserved. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. This is the second episode. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. In the main event, former light With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. No place like 'Nam. . Instagram did not return a 200. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. 2,. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving. The data behind that evolution is striking. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. Accuracy is not guaranteed. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven races are now separated by three points or less polling average. Today those numbers have flipped. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. heritage commons university of utah. They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. Over the weekend, the White House announced that five more classified documents from the Obama administration were found at President Biden's Delaware home. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. No products in the cart. podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. 01:00 PM. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. Nate Silver's. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. They also discuss shifting American views on foreign policy and the status of the infrastructure and budget bills currently being considered in the Senate. send a tweet. Thanks! They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. This is the first episode. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. Galen speaks with him. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. The State Of The Polls, 2016. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. The Supreme Court Not So Much. 11:03 AM. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not.
Gary Peters Wife, Case De Vanzare Reading Anglia, Fallout 4 Tilde Key Not Working, Articles F